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Private Markets Bracing for Tariff Impacts

With events unfolding daily (even moment to moment), it is not yet clear how the nearly $2 trillion of assets in the private equity and venture capital market will be impacted. However, given the diversity and breadth of industries across the private markets, it is clear that the impact won’t be uniform. Private company valuations […]

April 2025

VantagePoint: Strategic Portfolio Construction in a Changing World

The complexities of ever-changing markets present both challenges and opportunities for compounding wealth over time. Amid significant market volatility, investors should stay focused on sticking with their long-term strategy while looking for opportunities as they evolve. Shifting geopolitical alignments, the prospect of persistently high tariffs, rising sovereign debt in developed markets, and the end of […]

April 2025

Will the Fed Cut Rates to Rescue Financial Markets?

No, we do not think the Federal Reserve will cut rates in the near term to rescue financial markets. However, if tariffs begin to significantly impact the real economy, the Fed will eventually act. The Fed faces a delicate balancing act: managing downside growth risks while addressing inflation pressures from tariffs. This dynamic will make […]

April 2025

Tariff Standoff Intensifies Near-Term Risks in Asia

Global equities tumbled nearly 8% last week following the announcement of US tariffs on April 2, with the rout continuing into Monday, April 7. Key Asian markets have declined 3%–13% on Monday, partly reflecting the delayed reaction from markets that were closed on Friday, while US and European markets experienced wild swings after opening sharply […]

April 2025

US Tariffs Increase Market Risks

Yesterday (April 2), US President Donald Trump announced sweeping new tariffs targeting nearly all US trading partners. The policy includes a 10% baseline tariff on all imported goods and country-specific “reciprocal” tariffs of up to 50% that target nations with perceived unfair trade barriers against US products. Key trading partners such as the EU, Japan, […]

April 2025

Will German-led Fiscal Reforms be Transformative for Europe?

Yes, in response to weak growth and a changing defence landscape, taking off the fiscal straitjacket should catalyse a more growth-supportive economic environment within Europe. There will be a direct growth impact as increased government investment is disbursed, some crowding in of private-sector investment, and the potential for further positive growth benefits from subsequent institutional […]

March 2025

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