Skip to Main Content

Insights

Fed Tightens by 0.75% and Projects Softer Economy

The Federal Reserve announced that it was raising the target range for the Fed funds rate by 75 basis points (bps) to 1.50%–1.75%. An apparent briefing to the financial press last week meant that this course of action was fully priced in by the rates market beforehand, despite just 50 bps being priced as recently […]

June 17, 2022

Small-Cap Stocks Present Large Opportunity

US small-cap stocks have underperformed large-cap peers in recent years, opening a significant valuation discount that seems hard to justify based on relative earnings strength or balance sheet health. Looking ahead, the sector exposure of small-cap stocks may make them better positioned for the current environment of rising interest rates and high commodity prices. While […]

June 15, 2022

Video: Portfolio Construction for Private Families

Portfolio management for families of significant wealth is distinctly different than for institutions, or those with traditional wealth management needs. For these families, the wealth typically exists in a much more complex ecosystem—among real estate investments, operating companies, or multiple generations, by way of example. These factors should have a meaningful impact on investment strategy, […]

June 13, 2022

Are Global Corporate Earnings Expectations Too Lofty?

Yes, we think corporate earnings expectations are likely too high. This is because earnings are well above the long-term trend, and we expect inflation and higher policy rates will put downward pressure on profits margins. After growing by more than 50% in 2021, global corporate earnings are significantly higher than the long-term trend. However, nominal […]

June 13, 2022

Space: Zero Gravity Space Factories

We’ve all dreamt of traveling to outer space and recently, that dream has been more tangible than ever. But for those of us without a seat on the next rocket, how will space innovation improve our lives here on Earth? It turns out that the microgravity environment of orbit provides manufacturing capabilities that aren’t possible […]

June 7, 2022

Water: Carbon Sinking Kelp Farms

Oceans make up 72% of the earth’s surface and have absorbed around 40% of carbon emissions since 1840. As such, investors are increasingly putting capital to work in ocean-based businesses to both mitigate climate change and enhance the Blue Economy—but how? In this episode, we visit Running Tide in Portland, ME to see this concept […]

June 1, 2022

Credit Investors Should Proceed Cautiously

Credit assets have sold off in recent weeks in unison with other risk assets, as market concern has shifted from one extreme of growth and inflation running too hot to another of stagflation, or even outright recession. Despite the improvement in credit pricing, we believe investors should be patient when adding to high-beta credit portfolios. […]

May 27, 2022

Are Venture Returns About to Cycle?

Yes. We do expect venture capital (VC) returns to be negatively impacted in the coming quarters but doubt that impact will be as pronounced and wholesale as it was during the dot-com era. To this day, the US VC 1999 vintage year fund cohort still reports an overall negative internal rate of return and has yet to return […]

May 25, 2022