Navigating the AI Revolution
July 2025
Navigating the AI Revolution: State of the Technology Today and Potential Future Trajectories
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is at a pivotal point, representing a potential “platform shift” more significant than the technological advances of the last 50 years with profound economic, societal, and geopolitical consequences. As investors navigate the flood of AI news, it is helpful to remember that a new technology’s impact is typically overestimated in the short […]
July 2025
Navigating the AI Revolution: Unlocking Productivity with AI Investment
Economic activity is fundamentally driven by the size of the labor force and the productivity of that labor. With working-age populations expected to stagnate or decline in many countries due to falling birth rates, future economic growth will increasingly depend on productivity improvements rather than workforce expansion. Yet, recent years have seen disappointing productivity gains, raising […]
July 2025
Navigating the AI Revolution: AI’s Far Reach in Shaping Asset Allocation Opportunities
Generative AI marks a pivotal moment in AI, with the 2022 public release of OpenAI’s ChatGPT as a major milestone. As discussed in Part 1 of this three-part series, AI is a transformative technology paradigm that will continue to evolve over the next decade and beyond. While significant investment has fueled rapid growth in AI […]
July 2025
After a Blistering First Half of the Year, Can Non-US Equities Continue to Outperform US Peers?
Yes, we believe a combination of attractive valuations, a shifting macro and policy environment, and stretched US profitability will allow non-US equities to continue outperforming. The overvalued US dollar may also reduce the attractiveness of US assets to foreign investors while acting as a tailwind for USD investors allocating to foreign assets. During the first […]
July 2025
Market Response to US-Iran Escalation Limited So Far
Last weekend, the United States conducted airstrikes on three of Iran’s principal nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. This marked a further escalation in Middle East tensions, which had already intensified after Israel began airstrikes on Iran on June 13. In response, Iran has now directly targeted US interests, launching missiles at US bases in Iraq […]
June 2025
Do Fiscal Concerns Undermine the Role of US Treasury Securities as Core Portfolio Diversifiers?
No. US Treasury securities are likely to remain among the most effective diversifiers during periods of equity market stress. While US fiscal and policy concerns have contributed to recent volatility, the attractive attributes of US Treasury securities should sustain global demand and support their central role in multi-asset portfolios. However, no single asset is a […]
May 2025
Are California Carbon Allowances an Attractive Investment?
Yes, California Carbon Allowances (CCAs) are an attractive investment opportunity, though they come with political tail risk. California’s Cap-and-Trade Program requires companies in regulated industries to purchase CCAs to offset a portion of their carbon emissions. The CCA supply is mandated to decline over time to support higher carbon prices and discourage emissions. After peaking […]
May 2025