New tax provisions in legislation recently passed by the US House of Representatives (the House Bill) would impose millions of dollars of new costs on many colleges, universities, and private foundations, if enacted. We recommend four steps nonprofit organizations can consider right now, without being too hasty, to ensure they are well-prepared and responsive should […]
June 2025
Private investors and wealthy families face distinct portfolio management complexities. Our latest paper details how we build and manage portfolios to meet each private client’s long-term goals.
June 2025
No. US Treasury securities are likely to remain among the most effective diversifiers during periods of equity market stress. While US fiscal and policy concerns have contributed to recent volatility, the attractive attributes of US Treasury securities should sustain global demand and support their central role in multi-asset portfolios. However, no single asset is a […]
May 2025
Yes, California Carbon Allowances (CCAs) are an attractive investment opportunity, though they come with political tail risk. California’s Cap-and-Trade Program requires companies in regulated industries to purchase CCAs to offset a portion of their carbon emissions. The CCA supply is mandated to decline over time to support higher carbon prices and discourage emissions. After peaking […]
May 2025
Emerging markets (EM) economies were among the hardest hit as part of US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariff announcement. This was because EM countries tend to run trade surpluses with the United States and the administration’s tariff methodology ostensibly focused on bilateral trade deficits. While trade negotiations may ultimately result in a less draconian […]
May 2025
Introduction Aaron Costello, Head of Asia, and Vivian Gan, Investment Director, Capital Markets Research Asian and global market volatility surged in early 2025 as US tariffs triggered global growth fears. Given the export-oriented nature of most Asian economies and their sensitivity to global growth and demand, the region may bear the brunt of US tariffs. […]
April 2025
No, we don’t think so. Gold has benefited from concerns about economic growth, inflation, and waning confidence in the US dollar, creating a perfect storm for bullish sentiment. While these factors could continue to support gold in the short term, the current momentum appears unsustainable. Gold’s recent climb to an all-time inflation-adjusted high increases the […]
April 2025
After a prolonged period of US outperformance, many investment portfolios have become heavily concentrated in US equities, particularly tech stocks. They are also significantly exposed to the US dollar across public, private, and alternative assets. Recent policy shifts now challenge US economic and financial hegemony, increasing the risk to equity and currency outperformance. Investors should […]
April 2025