Will the Iran Conflict Trigger a Pandemic-Style Inflation Spike?
No, we do not think this is the likely outcome. While the path forward is highly uncertain, several key factors—including the typically limited pass-through of energy price increases to broader inflation, the possibility that the conflict remains short-lived, and the unique circumstances behind the 2021–22 inflation surge—suggest that a repeat of pandemic-era inflation is unlikely. […]
March 2026