Are Private Equity Mega Funds in a Category by Themselves?
Mega funds are indeed in a category by themselves, namely that of a new public markets proxy.
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Given Prolonged US Equity Market Dominance, Should Investors Reconsider Existing Overweights to Global ex US Stocks?
No, we believe investors should maintain a modest tilt away from US equities and toward global ex US stocks.
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Should Investors Allocate to Public or Private Chinese Investments?
Public and private Chinese equities both present attractive investment opportunities today.
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The US Yield Curve Inverted! Should Investors Underweight Risk?
Although an inverted yield curve is not a sign we welcome, it also is not a clear indicator of an imminent equity market downturn. Instead of underweighting risky assets, we suggest investors take this opportunity to refresh plans to manage through the next bear market.
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With Brexit Stress Peaking, Should Investors Tactically Increase Exposure to UK Equities?
No, we don’t believe the politics of Brexit are conducive to tactical asset allocation.
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Should Investors Chase the Rally in China A-Shares?
Yes, but only if you can tolerate the volatility. Chinese A-shares have surged in 2019, rising nearly 23% as of March 8. In 2018, A-shares’ -29% return was one of the worst among major markets, but renewed optimism this year over US-China trade negotiations sparked the sharp rebound.
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Should Investors Be Worried About the Private Real Assets Fundraising Frenzy?
Investors navigating the robust fundraising environment should be selective when making commitments in 2019.
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Should Investors Fret About Declining Earnings Estimates?
Investors shouldn’t sweat the recent downgrades to global earnings forecasts. Although analysts have cut their expectations substantially since September, they still expect most regions to grow in the mid-single digits in 2019.
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Will Venture Capital Repeat the Post-TMT Bubble Experience?
We do not expect a rerun of the 2000s for tech and venture capital. The similarities between the late 1990s and today are concerning, but the differences are even more sweeping.
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What Should Investors Expect in 2019?
Investors should expect more volatility in 2019, as many of the trends and political dynamics that have rattled confidence over the last few months seem unlikely to dissipate in the months ahead.
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