No, we do not think this is the likely outcome. While the path forward is highly uncertain, several key factors—including the typically limited pass-through of energy price increases to broader inflation, the possibility that the conflict remains short-lived, and the unique circumstances behind the 2021–22 inflation surge—suggest that a repeat of pandemic-era inflation is unlikely. […]
March 2026
No. The proposed policies are unlikely to swiftly resolve the challenges facing US residential real estate. While recent proposals may offer marginal support, they are not significant enough to improve deteriorating housing affordability. Given that most policy measures do not meaningfully address the core issues—limited supply and elevated mortgage rates—we do not expect a significant […]
February 2026
Investors should lean into hedge funds in 2026 by Sean Duffin Hedge funds remain a vital part of diversified portfolios, and building resilience requires a thoughtful mix of strategies. In today’s environment—marked by elevated dispersion, low correlations, and ongoing policy uncertainty—equity long/short (ELS) managers are especially well positioned. Advances in AI and persistent tariff-related disruptions […]
December 2025
Relative to expectations, the real estate market environment in 2025 has been largely disappointing, as transaction volume remains muted and the valuation recovery has been slow due to elevated interest rates and overall market uncertainty. Unpredictable US trade policies, ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and concerns over substantial deficit spending have dampened both business and consumer confidence, […]
October 2025
No. Despite last week’s rate cut, we do not recommend that most investors increase their core real estate exposure. Although real estate assets should benefit from renewed Federal Reserve easing—which would lower debt costs and improve relative yields—valuations remain elevated and sector-specific challenges remain. While neutral on broad core real estate exposures at this time, […]
September 2025
In our previous articles for the PREA Quarterly, we noted that in 2024, for the first time since we began tracking fundraising trends, infrastructure fundraising activity surpassed that of real estate, as shown in Exhibit 1. Infrastructure continues to garner investor interest as the asset class provides resilient income with inflation protection, exposure to megatrends […]
July 2025
Generative AI marks a pivotal moment in AI, with the 2022 public release of OpenAI’s ChatGPT as a major milestone. As discussed in Part 1 of this three-part series, AI is a transformative technology paradigm that will continue to evolve over the next decade and beyond. While significant investment has fueled rapid growth in AI […]
July 2025
Last weekend, the United States conducted airstrikes on three of Iran’s principal nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. This marked a further escalation in Middle East tensions, which had already intensified after Israel began airstrikes on Iran on June 13. In response, Iran has now directly targeted US interests, launching missiles at US bases in Iraq […]
June 2025