This outlook provides our perspective on the global economic environment and presents 15 key views across asset classes for 2026. These insights are designed to inform strategic discussions and guide portfolio decision making. Given the diversity of investor objectives and constraints—regarding risk tolerance, investment horizon, liquidity needs, currency exposure, and tax considerations, for example—each view […]
December 2025
Investors should embrace diversification in 2026 by Kevin Rosenbaum Many investors have seen the share of their portfolios invested in equities—both public and private—increase over the past decade. This shift was fueled partly by the maturation of private investment asset classes, the growth of passive investing, and low bond yields that accompanied extraordinary fiscal and […]
December 2025
Investors should maintain exposure to high-quality sovereigns and avoid duration bets in 2026 by TJ Scavone Yields on most major developed market (DM) sovereign bonds reached a multi-year high in 2023 and have since held just below those highs, trading in a relatively narrow range. We expect this pattern to persist into 2026, supported by […]
December 2025
Investors should overweight global ex US equities in 2026 by Thomas O’Mahony Global ex US equities have outperformed US equities by 4.4 percentage points (ppts) in local currency terms so far in 2025 and by 11.2 ppts in USD terms. We believe that conditions are in place to see that outperformance trend continue in 2026 […]
December 2025
Investors should revisit private portfolio exposures amid a morphing market in 2026 by Andrea Auerbach While the last year has been one of recovery for the private markets, the aftershocks of the 2021 era continue to reverberate, with both the distribution drought and concomitant fundraising slowdown expected to extend their four-year runs into 2026. We […]
December 2025
Investors should lean into hedge funds in 2026 by Sean Duffin Hedge funds remain a vital part of diversified portfolios, and building resilience requires a thoughtful mix of strategies. In today’s environment—marked by elevated dispersion, low correlations, and ongoing policy uncertainty—equity long/short (ELS) managers are especially well positioned. Advances in AI and persistent tariff-related disruptions […]
December 2025
Blockchain and crypto-focused venture capital (BCVC) funds offer a compelling opportunity alongside traditional venture capital (VC) strategies. While some investors question the merits of blockchain technology and may overlook these funds, this could mean missing out on exposure to managers and innovations with the potential to transform industries and deliver outperformance. However, investors should expect […]
November 2025
No, the recent bankruptcies of First Brands Group and Tricolor do not signal systemic problems in private credit. Both cases are idiosyncratic, driven by fraud and unique business practices rather than broad market weakness. Importantly, the impact was felt across both private and traditional credit markets, not just private credit. Fundamentals in private credit remain […]
November 2025