The US federal government shut down overnight after the Senate failed to reach an agreement on funding government operations before the September 30 deadline. During a shutdown, “non-essential” federal agencies and programs that rely on annual discretionary appropriations must cease operations until funding is restored. Historically, shutdowns have been short-lived—averaging eight days—and have had negligible […]
October 2025
No. Despite last week’s rate cut, we do not recommend that most investors increase their core real estate exposure. Although real estate assets should benefit from renewed Federal Reserve easing—which would lower debt costs and improve relative yields—valuations remain elevated and sector-specific challenges remain. While neutral on broad core real estate exposures at this time, […]
September 2025
Yes. Current market expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower its policy rate by roughly 150 basis points (bps) by the end of next year are overly optimistic. While we expect a 25-bp cut on September 17, we believe additional cuts through 2026 will be more gradual than markets anticipate, given persistent inflation and a […]
September 2025
Yes. In our view, developed markets (DM) ex US small-cap stocks are well positioned to continue outpacing their larger-cap counterparts. We expect this trend to persist due to three key factors: reduced sensitivity to global tariff changes, attractive relative valuations, and improving international economic fundamentals—including supportive policy and currency trends. For investors seeking to capitalize […]
September 2025
No. Although recent underperformance has led some investors to question whether trend-following is facing deeper structural issues, the strategy is inherently cyclical. Periods of unfavourable conditions are typically temporary, meaning drawdowns have often been followed by strong recoveries. Trend-following remains one of the few strategies with a proven track record of diversification and providing alpha […]
August 2025
Margaret Chen, Global Head of the Endowment and Foundation Practice, hosted a webinar in August to discuss endowment/foundation excise tax legislation and key takeaways from the legislative process. Margaret was joined by Tracy Filosa and Chris Houston, who shared insights on the legislation, answered questions, and examined what next steps investors can take, even if […]
August 2025
US President Donald Trump signed an executive order on August 7 directing the Department of Labor and SEC to issue guidance on the inclusion of private market assets in 401(k) plans, marking a pivotal step toward unlocking a major new source of demand for private assets and substantially accelerating the democratization of the asset class. […]
August 2025
With a backdrop of strong, yet concentrated public markets, US private equity and venture capital posted mid to high single-digit returns in 2024, as venture capital bounced back from its two-year streak (2022–23) of negative returns. For 2024, the Cambridge Associates LLC US Private Equity Index® returned 8.1% and the Cambridge Associates LLC US Venture […]
August 2025