Does Trend-Following’s Recent Struggle Signal That the Strategy Is Structurally Broken?

No. Although recent underperformance has led some investors to question whether trend-following is facing deeper structural issues, the strategy is inherently cyclical. Periods of unfavourable conditions are typically temporary, meaning drawdowns have often been followed by strong recoveries. Trend-following remains one of the few strategies with a proven track record of diversification and providing alpha […]

August 2025

Have Markets Moved Beyond Peak Tariff Uncertainty?

Yes, the period of greatest tariff uncertainty for global equity investors is likely behind us. Markets have gained increased clarity on the likely range of US tariff rates, and the most severe trade scenarios that were a real concern a few months ago now appear less probable. While tariffs will continue to contribute to equity […]

July 2025

Powering the Future: Infrastructure Trends, Performance, and Portfolio Impact

In our previous articles for the PREA Quarterly, we noted that in 2024, for the first time since we began tracking fundraising trends, infrastructure fundraising activity surpassed that of real estate, as shown in Exhibit 1. Infrastructure continues to garner investor interest as the asset class provides resilient income with inflation protection, exposure to megatrends […]

July 2025

VantagePoint: What to Do About the US Dollar?

The US dollar and US equities have experienced a decade-long bull market that has significantly increased USD exposure across investor portfolios. Recently, the dollar has declined amid heightened global economic uncertainty, raising concerns about a possible prolonged downturn. Considering these developments, we believe investors should underweight the dollar relative to the allocation implied by their […]

July 2025

Can Latin American Equities Continue Outperforming?

Yes. We believe Latin America (LatAm) will benefit from today’s shifting market dynamics, supporting its outperformance over broader emerging markets (EM) stocks. LatAm equity and currency valuations are deeply discounted and the region is relatively insulated from trade and geopolitical tensions—especially compared to Asia. We recommend investors adopt a modest overweight to LatAm equities, funded […]

July 2025

Navigating the AI Revolution

July 2025

Navigating the AI Revolution: State of the Technology Today and Potential Future Trajectories

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is at a pivotal point, representing a potential “platform shift” more significant than the technological advances of the last 50 years with profound economic, societal, and geopolitical consequences. As investors navigate the flood of AI news, it is helpful to remember that a new technology’s impact is typically overestimated in the short […]

July 2025

Navigating the AI Revolution: Unlocking Productivity with AI Investment

Economic activity is fundamentally driven by the size of the labor force and the productivity of that labor. With working-age populations expected to stagnate or decline in many countries due to falling birth rates, future economic growth will increasingly depend on productivity improvements rather than workforce expansion. Yet, recent years have seen disappointing productivity gains, raising […]

July 2025